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Wednesday 1 January 2014

Expectations as the nigerian centenary year unfolds



Great things to expect as this year unfolds marking the Nigeria’s centenary.
The Nigerian this day newspaper unfolds a long list of expectations as the Nigerian centenary celebration counts down
It has been a long and winding journey, chequered by rough and historic experiences. A hundred years ago, Nigeria came into existence, courtesy of the christening of the northern and southern protectorates by Flora Shaw, the mistress of Lord Lugard, the then Governor General of Nigeria. Godwin Haruna highpoints some of the expectations of Nigerians in this landmark age of the country

What else should Nigerians look forward to in this year of amalgamation? While we waited for this epoch, stories of eventual disintegration filled the air. However, having emerged from British colonisation, which lasted for 46 years, a civil war of almost three years and 29 years of autocratic military interregnum, analysts believe that there is nothing too difficult for a resilient country like Nigeria to overcome. That Nigeria survived all these crises of her nationhood and emerged as one indivisible and indissoluble country to witness this centenary is worth celebrating regardless of the pessimists’ calls for balkanization before today.

The National Conference
Whether it is the National Conference or Dialogue, this is one event that promises to shape the polity in 2014. The groundswell of opposition to the National Conference when President Goodluck Jonathan announced its composition is almost equal to its advocates. However, with the submission of the Senator Femi Okuruoumu-led Presidential Advisory Committee, which was saddled with the responsibility of designing a framework for the conference, the president said the talkshop would be conducted this year.


During the report submission, the committee had urged the federal government to ensure the conclusion of the exercise by June 2014 to pave the way for the 2015 general elections. Already, the president has confirmed this while receiving the 4,000-page report of the committee from Okurounmu that the national conference would hold early this year. Debates have also raged concerning its composition, this too will be sorted out in the coming weeks if not days.
Heated Polity


As preparation for the 2015 general elections reach crescendo, Nigerians should expect a heated polity in 2014. Nigerians have started witnessing such altercations from the exchange of letters from former President Olusegun Obasanjo and the incumbent, Jonathan. Again politics promises to be a platform that would generate much acrimony with gubernatorial elections due to hold in Ekiti and Osun States.


More than ever before, Nigerians will also witness alignment and re-alignment of forces towards 2015 as the two dominant parties, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the All Progressive Alliance (APC), intensify efforts to get the backing of Nigerians. The party primaries to select flag bearers for the general election of next year is also a fertile ground for infighting among all the political parties in the country. The much-vaunted internal democracies of the parties will be stretched to the limits as the primaries for all elective offices provide opportunity for defections in all directions.

Tight Budget in 2014
The Minister of Finance and the Co-ordinating Minister for the Economy, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala told Nigerians to expect a fairly tight budget for the country this year. During a breakfast dialogue with the Nigeria Economic Summit Group, NESG, in which she assessed the performance of the economy for 2013, Okonjo-Iweala prepared the minds of the business leaders in particular and Nigerians in general, on what to expect.


The minister, who represented President Jonathan at separate sittings of the Senate and the House of Representatives, said the government proposes to spend N4.6 trillion in 2014. Of that figure, N3.7 trillion will cover recurrent expenditure while only N1.1 trillion is earmarked for developmental or capital projects.


The three key figures represent a reduction from the past two years. For 2013, total spending stood at N4.9 trillion, while the government said it had succeeded lowering recurrent spending from 71.47 per cent in 2012 to 68.7 per cent in 2013.
Capital expenditure also rose from 28.53 per cent in 2012 to 31.3 per cent in 2013.


However, she added: “The budget is going to support the push in agriculture, it will kick-start the housing sector where we can create more jobs; it is designed to our policies that would support manufacturing because jobs would be created there.
“Industries will also be created in solid minerals. All these support will continue to be unleashed. Job creation is the key to really solving the problems of the Nigerian economy.” That is some ray of hope despite budget’s tightness!


Better Road Infrastructure
With N98 billion injected into the construction of seven major highways and flyovers in Kano State alone this year, the federal government has assured Nigerians to expect a   better year in 2014 in terms of motorable roads. Minister of State for Works, Ambassador Bashir Yuguda said although based on the ministry’s budget envelope, they were not able to achieve 100 per cent of their target for the outgoing year, funding from SURE-P helped in delivering on the projections. He has therefore promised better road network across the country this year.


Rice Exportation
If it concerns food sufficiency, Nigerians will be delighted because it is often said that a hungry person is also angry. And no one can predict the actions of an angry person. The acting Director-General of the National Agricultural Seeds Council, Olusegun Olatokun, said late last year that Nigeria had the capacity to begin rice exportation this year.


Olatokun said with the federal government’s plan to ban rice importation this year, the country had no choice but to take advantage of its potential in rice production in furtherance of the Agricultural Transformation Agenda. Nigerians will be waiting on government to meet this expectation this year since Olatokun had promised: “Give us 2014, you will see Nigeria exporting rice. It is a good thing that they should ban it, if they don’t, the competition that will come may discourage the rice producers.”


New Naira Notes
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has said that Nigerians should expect a new generation of naira notes before the second quarter of 2014. Deputy Governor, Operations, Mr. Tunde Lemo said the apex bank had earlier announced its decision to move the local currency from polymer back to paper, but disclosed that all the notes in circulation would not be withdrawn at the same time.


According to Lemo, the life cycle of a note in Nigeria is between six months and a year and if CBN took that decision six months ago, “I reckon that in the next three to six months, you will begin to see these denominations re-appear in paper.” The CBN governor, Mallam Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, is also expected to complete a glorious tenure this May.

Heated Competition Online
Looking back at the retail and technology trends that shaped 2013 can help us envisage what retailers can expect for 2014. Increased competition from online retailers and the lack of traction for mobile wallets show we're still in the early stages of digital and merchant convergence. The industry will continue to evolve in 2014 as mobile commerce continues to grow and retailers put more focus on creating targeted, personalised and seamless shopping experience for consumers.


Experts believe that part of the prominent feature of 2014 mobile marketing would be the drive for mto deliver the best consumer experience. Consumers would shift loyalty to merchants that focus on delivering the most engaging, rich and useful customer experience. If retailers want to stay competitive, they will need to focus on making it as easy as possible for customers to find - and pay for - exactly what they want.


Insurgency Going Down?
Nigerians expect that the Boko Haram insurgency should go down this year. Many analysts have posited that besides the Nigerian civil war, no event in the country’s history has claimed more lives than the activities of the sect, which have mowed down both civilians and military personnel in cold blood especially in Borno, Yobe and Adamawa States. However, it is a mixed bag of hope and trepidation as Nigerians begin the New Year due to the fact that some political jobbers may form unholy alliance with the sect towards the crucial 2015 election.

What has given Nigerians hope of the reduction of the destructive activities of the sect is the assurance of foreign countries, especially Britain and the United States to assist the country. In the closing days of last year, the sect appeared to have raised the tempo of its attacks but the Joint Military Taskforce have been meeting them fire for fire. The festive period was also almost entirely devoid of their nefarious activities, therefore, hope is alive that they will be extinguished this year.

Brazil Football World Cup Finals
If there is anything that unifies Nigeria, it is sports, especially football. Whenever the country is participating in any competition, Nigerians usually rise as one country to support the team. Nigerians’ passionate love for football is legendary and the patriotic zeal with which they support the national teams is infectious. Despite the economic downturn, most Nigerians are looking forward to the world’s most followed sport, football’s showpiece in various cities of Brazil in 2014.


Nigeria and Argentina are drawn in Group F of the competition, as they were in Korea/Japan 2002 and South Africa 2010. The two perennial rivals are drawn alongside newcomers, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Iran. Nigeria, the first African team to qualify for the finals of the global soccer showpiece in Brazil, will play their opening match against Iran in Curitiba on June 16 before taking on the newcomers, Herzegovina in the second match and Argentiana in the final group match. As usual, this is an event Nigerians look forward to with flourish in 2014.


2014 African Nations Championship
Even before the World Cup Finals, another soccer event of 2014 is the African Nations Championship (CHAN) in South Africa, which normally features players in the local leagues of the various countries on the continent. The CHAN event is Nigeria’s starters in the crowded football events of this year and the country is hoisting its flag at the competition for the first time since it began next week in South Africa.


U-17 Women FIFA World Cup in Costa Rica
Another football competition involves Nigeria’s U-17 women’s football team, the Flamengoes, which have been drawn in group D for the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Costa Rica. The Flamengoes will play Colombia in their opening game, go against China in the second encounter and tackle Mexico in the final group game. The U-17 Women’s national team qualified for the world cup finals following the withdrawal of South Sudan. Nigeria’s women football squad is the dominant team in Africa and Nigerians follow them in all age grade competitions.